Fall foliage 2026: when leaves are expected to peak, and why
Forecasters expect fall color across most of the country by mid-October, though warm weather could push some peaks later this year.
October is when a lot of people start planning a drive to see the leaves change. This year's forecasts give a rough calendar, with a few weather caveats.
Based on data from Explore Fall, Axios reports that fall color is expected across most of the country by mid-October. Predicted peaks include about October 16 for northern New England, November 2 for Shenandoah National Park in Virginia and November 7 for Washington, D.C.
Weather could shift those dates. A strong El Niño pattern might raise temperatures and delay some peak colors, and ongoing drought in Maine and the Upper Midwest could leave leaves duller than usual. Cool nights and sunny days are what bring out the brightest reds and oranges, so a warm stretch can slow things down.
Peak maps are estimates, and color can change quickly from one week to the next. Before you drive a long way, check the foliage or conditions page for the state park or national park you plan to visit, since many post updates during the season. Leaves on higher ground tend to turn before those in valleys, so if one spot has not changed yet, a road with more elevation nearby may have.
If you can, pick a weekday or an early morning for popular scenic drives. Lots fill quickly on autumn weekends, and an early start gives you better light for photos too.
Sources
Facts were checked against these sources when the post was written. Details can change, so check them for the latest.